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Notes on building prediction markets into a product

What an integration involves, what a price actually means, and how the fast end of this market works. Written for the people who have to make it run.

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Casino operatorsIntegration

How to add prediction markets to an online casino

A prediction-markets tab is a different product on the same wallet, the same account and the same licence. The work is not the front end. It is the catalogue, the pricing, the execution and the settlement behind it. Here is the division that makes it a small project instead of a platform build.

Prediction market APIs: what you actually need to integrate

The endpoints and the guarantees an integration actually depends on: a normalised catalogue, executable quotes, idempotent orders, marked positions, settlement and reconciliation.

How 5-minute Bitcoin prediction markets work

Five-minute up-or-down crypto contracts: how the windows are scheduled, what the price to beat is, how a 60-second TWAP settles them, and why the reference price has to arrive exactly.

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