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Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Parity · Parity

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Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

16%chance

16¢ to buy · 6.25x

Periodic refresh· 22.4K Vol.· 69.8M all timeCloses Jan 1, 2027

Aug 29Sep 13Sep 28

Probability over time

Trending in World

Dec 31489.1K Vol.US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?October 3154%
Oct 4298.7K Vol.Brazil Presidential ElectionFlávio Bolsonaro58%
Oct 1286.5K Vol.Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes0.3%
Apr 1, 2027255.3K Vol.US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?December 3154%

Resolution sourceSee the market rules above

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Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?