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Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026 | Parity · Parity
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Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
share
Periodic refresh
· 18.4K Vol.
·
25.1M
all time
Closes Apr 1, 2027
Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms
16%
Save the Children
8%
Sara Al-Saqqa
6%
Yulia Navalnaya
6%
+14 more
0%
20%
40%
60%
Aug 30
Sep 14
Sep 29
Probability over time
1D
1W
1M
All
Markets
Yes
No
Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms
16%
▲ 0.5 pts
16¢
84¢
Save the Children
8%
▲ 0.2 pts
8¢
93¢
Sara Al-Saqqa
6%
▲ 0.9 pts
7¢
No quote
Yulia Navalnaya
6%
6¢
95¢
International Court of Justice
5%
▲ 0.4 pts
5¢
No quote
Committee to Protect Journalists
5%
▼ 0.2 pts
7¢
No quote
UNRWA
4%
▼ 0.2 pts
4¢
No quote
Reporters Without Borders
4%
▲ 3 pts
7¢
No quote
Hussam Abu Safiya
2%
▼ 4 pts
3¢
No quote
Donald Trump
2%
2¢
No quote
Pope Leo XIV
2%
▲ 0.5 pts
2¢
No quote
Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani
1%
▲ 0.1 pts
2¢
No quote
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
1%
▲ 0.1 pts
2¢
No quote
Greta Thunberg
1%
▼ 0.3 pts
1¢
No quote
Chow Hang-tung
0.9%
1¢
No quote
World Central Kitchen
0.9%
▲ 0.1 pts
1¢
No quote
UNHCR
0.7%
▲ 0.2 pts
1¢
No quote
Market rules
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Resolution source
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Where to next
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80
markets
Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
Yes
16%
No
84%
