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Next leader out of power before 2027? | Parity · Parity
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Next leader out of power before 2027?
share
Periodic refresh
· 18.5K Vol.
·
609K
all time
Closes Jan 1, 2027
Netanyahu - Israel PM
35%
None before 2027
35%
Lecornu - France PM
13%
Merz - German Chancellor
4%
+16 more
0%
20%
40%
60%
Aug 29
Sep 13
Sep 28
Probability over time
1D
1W
1M
All
Markets
Yes
No
Netanyahu - Israel PM
35%
▲ 1 pts
35¢
66¢
None before 2027
35%
▼ 1 pts
35¢
66¢
Lecornu - France PM
13%
▲ 0.5 pts
14¢
87¢
Merz - German Chancellor
4%
▼ 0.2 pts
4¢
No quote
Díaz-Canel - Cuba President
3%
▲ 0.1 pts
4¢
No quote
Rodríguez - Venezuela Acting President
2%
▲ 0.3 pts
3¢
No quote
Abbas - President of Palestine
2%
▼ 0.9 pts
2¢
No quote
Erdoğan - Türkiye President
2%
▲ 0.1 pts
3¢
No quote
Zelenskyy - Ukraine President
2%
▼ 0.2 pts
2¢
No quote
Sánchez - Spanish PM
2%
▲ 1.0 pts
2¢
No quote
Trump - USA President
0.9%
▲ 0.3 pts
1¢
No quote
Takaichi - Japan PM
0.8%
1¢
No quote
Macron - France President
0.8%
▼ 0.1 pts
1¢
No quote
Newsom - California Governor
0.8%
▼ 0.5 pts
1¢
No quote
Market rules
Show market rules
Resolution source
See the market rules above
Where to next
Crypto
3,828
markets
Politics
2,459
markets
Finance
415
markets
Entertainment
400
markets
NFL Football
538
markets
NCAA Football
258
markets
Soccer
1,340
markets
Baseball
73
markets
Netanyahu - Israel PM
Next leader out of power before 2027?
Yes
35%
No
65%