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Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut? | Parity · Parity
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Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?
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· 3.4K Vol.
·
95.3K
all time
Closes Dec 31
45%+
93%
50%+
90%
55%+
54%
60%+
8%
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
Aug 29
Sep 13
Sep 28
Probability over time
1D
1W
1M
All
Thresholds
Yes
No
45%+
93%
▲ 3 pts
93¢
7¢
50%+
90%
▲ 2 pts
90¢
10¢
55%+
54%
▲ 4 pts
56¢
49¢
60%+
8%
▼ 3 pts
8¢
93¢
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Resolution source
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Crypto
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691
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538
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258
markets
Soccer
1,339
markets
Baseball
73
markets
50%+
Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?
Yes
90%
No
10%